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Dollar buoyed by jump in US bond yields

Dollar buoyed by jump in US bond yields

The dollar inched ahead on Wednesday, as a jump in US yields pushed it higher against the Japanese yen, while the kiwi briefly hit a one-month low after the central bank extended its bond buying programme.

The yield on 10-year US debt, which rises when bond prices fall, made its steepest gain in two months on Tuesday ahead of the largest ever 10-year auction later on Wednesday.

That triggered a wave of gold selling, which deepened in Asia, and it has pressured the yen as better returns on US debt lures investment from zero-yielding Japan.

Dollar buoyed by jump in US bond yields (KT25246812.PNG)

The yen fell 0.2 per cent to 106.71 per dollar, its lowest since July 24. The tumbling gold price, which has dropped roughly 7 per cent in two days, also dragged on the Australian dollar since Australia is the world's second biggest gold producer.

The Aussie fell 0.3 per cent to $0.7126 while the New Zealand dollar fell 0.5 per cent to $0.6547.

Elsewhere in financial markets, the focus was on the political holdup in Washington over a new stimulus package, which capped broader investor sentiment.

The jump in yields was driven by both repositioning ahead of big debt issuance this week and a sense that the global recovery is looking broader and more robust - a mood helped somewhat by Russia hailing the approval of a COVID-19 vaccine.

"As we draw closer to a COVID-19 vaccine approval...we think that more economic optimism could be baked into US rates," said Eugene Leow and Philip Wee, strategists at Singapore's DBS Bank, in a note.

"The narrative could shift from second wave (and localised containment) worries to pricing in the prospect of a second leg of economic recovery once vaccines become more widely available around mid-2021."

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar extended a bounce made last Friday as US-China tensions ratcheted higher with President Donald Trump's ban on TikTok and WeChat.

It last sat at 93.778. Against the euro the greenback was a tad firmer at $1.1729 and against the pound it extended Tuesday gains that followed a weak British jobs report to hit $1.3021 per pound.

The dollar index has slumped 9 per cent from a three-year high it hit in March and lost 4 per cent in July alone, leaving investors divided over whether the support the greenback has found in August amounts to a bounce or a pause in its decline.

Dovish Kiwi

In New Zealand the central bank kept rates on hold, as expected.

But it surprised markets a little by extending the duration of its bond buying program, flagging an increase in purchases next week, and putting a little more emphasis on the possibility of negative rates in the future.

"Taken together, that's why interest rates have fallen a few basis points and why the kiwi fell," said Westpac FX analyst Imre Speizer. "That's a modest dovish reaction."

Ten-year New Zealand government debt was last down about 5 basis points, reflecting a small drop across the curve, and the kiwi recovered slightly from a one-month low $0.6524.

On the horizon are US inflation figures due at 1230 GMT, which are expected to show consumer price growth drift down to 1.1 per cent on a year-on-year basis from 1.2 per cent in June.

Investors are also looking for signs that the political impasse in Washington over the next stimulus programme can be overcome, with the stalemate weighing on US equities as Democrats and Republicans blamed each other for the deadlock.